Today is Day Four of Early Voting in what is predicted to be a very low turnout primary in Harris County. I'm no Charles Kuffner by any stretch of the imagination when it comes to analyzing the numbers and making any predictions, but I do feel pretty comfortable in saying that none of the races affecting the CJC are decided by a long shot.
The biggest enemy that outstanding candidates like Judge Mike Anderson, Joe Vinas, Ryan Patrick, Kristin Guiney and Renee Magee can have at this point is the apathetic voter who thinks the election is decided and doesn't vote.
I don't like bringing up the 2008 Republican Primary, but there couldn't be a more relevant illustration of what happens when a good candidate's supporters get complacent about their candidate winning.
Remember in 2008, the numbers looked like this in the Republican Primary:
KELLY SIEGLER -- 58,208 votes
PAT LYKOS -- 44,014 votes
JIM LEITNER -- 23, 851 votes
DOUG PERRY -- 14,831 votes
Because of Kelly's large margin over Lykos, people didn't think they really needed to vote in the primary -- and look what happened.
PAT LYKOS --21,106 votes
KELLY SIEGLER -- 18,962 votes
The attitude of "I don't need to vote" brought us Pat Lykos.
This year, because there is no third (or fourth) party spoiler in the Primary, we are guaranteed that there will be no run-off in the District Attorney race nor the Criminal District Court races. That makes your vote now more critical than ever.
Thus far (through Wednesday) the votes returned in the Republican Primary Early Voting are as follows:
MAIL-IN BALLOTS RETURNED: 11,430
IN-PERSON EARLY VOTERS: 10,205
Keep in mind that the mail-in ballots helped Lykos immensely in 2008.
In the original primary, she got 43.76% of the Absentee Vote compared to Kelly Siegler's 35.98%.
In the run-off, that number jumped to Lykos receiving 55.31% of the Absentee Vote to Kelly's 44.69%. That margin alone created a divide that Kelly couldn't overcome on Election Day.
So, please don't listen to anyone telling you that this election has already been either won or lost. It is still anyone's game.
You don't have to live on the verge of a nervous break-down over worrying that the election can't be won.
But, more importantly, you damn sure can't be feeling that it has already been won.