The Chronicle's website has released an article detailing some sample polling on the D.A.'s race. The article is already in the advance Sunday edition of the paper, and will be in the regular paper tomorrow. It details several races and the Obama phenomenon that has resulted in so many early votes in the Democrat's primary. (NOTE: I'll address that issue after the Primaries).
The bottom line information on the D.A.'s race states:
Among the voters in the survey who are likely to cast ballots in the Republican primary, 21 percent chose Siegler, 14 percent Lykos, 7 percent Perry and 6 percent Leitner.
Now, every since I was young enough to understand what a poll was, I've been hearing people say that they "didn't trust polls". I can't say that I've ever sworn by them, but they tend to generally get the picture correct, if they are done right.
But this one is a little strange.
First of all, I've got to question the validity, or value, I guess, of a poll that leaves 52% of the vote up in the air.
And I'm stunned that Leitner would be coming in behind Perry. The fact that Perry is even running in this race is a complete farce. I tried to be polite regarding his misguided idea to run for office, but this is just absurd. The man cites his record for trying traffic ticket cases as his trial ability, for Pete's sake! This is really an insult to Jim, but it clearly illustrates what the problem has been with the Leitner campaign from the start: name recognition.
Lykos has 14% of the vote, and Kelly has 21%.
With so much up in the air, can one side win the election without a run off? The article doesn't seem to think so, although it is certainly mathematically possible.
But here's the part that I don't get. The Siegler campaign has been walking neighborhoods and meeting Republican voters in the top voting precincts, and they've gone by literally thousands and thousands of households, meeting hundreds and hundreds of people (NOTE: People aren't always home).
Based on the unofficial polling from this group, there been right around an 85% - 90% percent positive response to Kelly's campaign.
What does that mean? I don't know. I know my polling wasn't anything official.
Maybe it means Lykos, Leitner, and Perry supporters are more likely to spend their weekend days out of the house than Siegler supporters.
Or maybe it just means that we'll all have to wait for March 4th to get a real idea about how Harris County really feels about the race.